Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$2,545,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR836

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr836, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,240 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404695

Days on Market: 286

Short Term Rental

$2,695,000

↓ $100,000

Kaanapali Alii 4-605

50 Nohea Kai Dr 4-605, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,690 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404367

Days on Market: 321

Short Term Rental

$699,000

↓ $50,000

Maui Sunset B304

1032 S Kihei Rd B304, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 681 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405162

Days on Market: 242

Short Term Rental

$1,375,000

Kahana Sunset A4

4909 Lower Honoapiilani Rd A4, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,064 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404805

Days on Market: 278

Short Term Rental

$799,000

↑ $100,000

Kihei Kai Nani 144

2495 S Kihei Rd 144, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 621 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404267

Days on Market: 329

Short Term Rental

$845,000

Paniolo Hale Q-4

100 Lio Pl Q-4, Molokai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,655 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401413

Days on Market: 607

$14,750,000

↓ $1,250,000

Maluhia at Wailea

19 Malukai Ln 4, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,803 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405257

Days on Market: 234

$2,000,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

Kamehameiki Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405209

Days on Market: 237

Short Term Rental

$999,000

Sugar Beach Resort 415

145 N Kihei Rd 415, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 613 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404393

Days on Market: 319

Short Term Rental

$1,495,000

The Ritz Carlton Residences 1502

1 Ritz Carlton Dr 1502, Kapalua

1 Bed 1 Bath 872 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405102

Days on Market: 248

$1,499,000

Kaanapali

517 Oka Kope St, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404495

Days on Market: 307

Short Term Rental

$725,000

Pacific Shores B-207

2219 S Kihei Rd B-207, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 745 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405120

Days on Market: 247

Short Term Rental

$725,000

↓ $10,000

Napili Sunset 215

53 Hui Dr 215, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 549 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404214

Days on Market: 334

$1,125,000

↓ $75,000

Kihei

144 E Lipoa St, Kihei

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 1,360 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405172

Days on Market: 242

Short Term Rental

$1,250,000

Paniolo Hale G-2

100 Lio Pl G-2, Molokai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,398 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404677

Days on Market: 289

$18,900,000

Makena Place

4950 Makena Rd 8, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,328 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404266

Days on Market: 329

In Escrow Short Term Rental

$1,750,000

Napili Point C-32

5295 Lower Honoapiilani Rd C-32, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 955 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404488

Days on Market: 310

Short Term Rental

$874,000

Hale Ono Loa 208

3823 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 208, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 558 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404772

Days on Market: 281

$927,000

Haiku

0 Hoolawa Rd, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404822

Days on Market: 275

Short Term Rental

$1,150,000

Maui Kamaole G207

2777 S Kihei Rd G207, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,052 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404071

Days on Market: 348

$4,300,000

Kihei

00 Alahele Pl, Kihei

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 397329

Days on Market: 1089

$1,888,000

Kaanapali Shores 258

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 258, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,078 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404464

Days on Market: 311

Short Term Rental

$1,859,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR332

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr332, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,080 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404111

Days on Market: 342

Short Term Rental

$699,900

Kamaole Sands 8-101

2695 S Kihei Rd 8-101, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 818 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404559

Days on Market: 300

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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