Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$699,900

Kamaole Sands 8-101

2695 S Kihei Rd 8-101, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 818 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404559

Days on Market: 300

$3,850,000

Wailuku Country Estates

81 Maika St, Wailuku

4 Beds 5.5 Baths 4,171 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404543

Days on Market: 300

Short Term Rental

$1,750,000

Kapalua Golf Villas 14V3-4

500 Kapalua Dr 14v3-4, Kapalua

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,344 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404947

Days on Market: 263

Short Term Rental

$1,050,000

Maui Kamaole A114

2777 S Kihei Rd A114, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 849 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404904

Days on Market: 268

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$695,000

Kaanapali

411 Wekiu Pl, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 403764

Days on Market: 380

Short Term Rental

$1,095,000

Maui Kamaole M102

2777 S Kihei Rd M102, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 849 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404088

Days on Market: 346

Short Term Rental

$1,950,000

Royal Mauian 404

2430 S Kihei Rd 404, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 806 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404591

Days on Market: 297

In Escrow

$1,825,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

1180 Olinda Rd, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 1,512 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404984

Days on Market: 260

$679,000

Kahakuloa

63 Lahaole Pl 19, Kahakuloa

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404500

Days on Market: 306

$1,590,000

Mu'olea

46142 Hana Hwy, Hana

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,644 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405031

Days on Market: 254

$1,299,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

5221-b Kohi St, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 1 Bath 960 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404248

Days on Market: 331

Short Term Rental

$2,650,000

Kaanapali Alii 4-603

50 Nohea Kai Dr 4-603, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,313 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404965

Days on Market: 261

Short Term Rental

$3,400,000

Kaanapali Alii I-304

50 Nohea Kai Dr I-304, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,523 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404368

Days on Market: 320

Short Term Rental

$2,980,000

Mahana 1019

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 1019, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,214 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404645

Days on Market: 292

$10,450,000

Puunoa

65 Wili Okai Way, Lahaina

5 Beds 5.5 Baths 5,777 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404601

Days on Market: 295

$9,900,000

Makila Plantation II

936 Punakea Loop, Lahaina

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,957 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404034

Days on Market: 352

$12,000,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4851 Lower Honoapiilani Rd, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 5,294 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404353

Days on Market: 321

$1,400,000

Kawela

170 Ulua Rd, Molokai

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,330 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404336

Days on Market: 323

In Escrow

$10,500,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Makanoe Pl, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404307

Days on Market: 326

In Escrow

$650,000

Waiohuli Hawaiian Homes

824 Pueo Dr, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,104 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403767

Days on Market: 380

$930,000

Kahakuloa

42 Hulumanu Pl Mcr 28, Kahakuloa

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 400828

Days on Market: 661

Short Term Rental

$1,400,000

Maui Kamaole C210

2777 S Kihei Rd C210, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,052 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404403

Days on Market: 318

$750,000

Kahakuloa

145 Kaukini Loop Mcr 6, Kahakuloa

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404346

Days on Market: 324

$734,900

Haleakala Gardens 9D

15 Kulanihakoi St 9d, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403921

Days on Market: 362

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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