Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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1032 S Kihei Rd, Unit B319, Kihei

$1,499,000

Maui Sunset

1032 S Kihei Rd, Unit B319, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 939 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403482

Coldwell Banker Island Prop(S)

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250 Wainohia St, Kihei

$1,299,000

Waiakoa Kai Estates

250 Wainohia St, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,446 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403481

Welcome Hawaii Properties

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500 Auwaha St, Unit Unit B, Haiku

$1,485,000

Haiku Town Acres

500 Auwaha St, Unit Unit B, Haiku

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,008 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403479

Maui Lifestyle Realty LLC

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644 Meakanu Ln, Unit 1904, Wailuku

$680,000

Kehalani Gardens

644 Meakanu Ln, Unit 1904, Wailuku

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 935 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403480

Pono Real Estate LLC

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2757 S Kihei Rd, Unit 202, Kihei

$1,299,000

Kamaole III

2757 S Kihei Rd, Unit 202, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,251 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403478

Coldwell Banker Island Prop-Ku

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55 Palulu Way, Unit Unit A, Haiku

$1,850,000

Haiku East

55 Palulu Way, Unit Unit A, Haiku

3 Beds 3 Baths 2,201 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403477

Coldwell Banker Island Prop(P)

147 Kualapa Pl, Unit 47, Kaanapali

$2,350,000

The Vintage at Ka'anapali

147 Kualapa Pl, Unit 47, Kaanapali

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,330 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403475

Hawaii Life (KAP)

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6 Coral Place Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

$2,400,000

Kahana Ridge

6 Coral Place Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

5 Beds 4 Baths 2,976 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403474

Berkshire Hathaway Maui Prop-L

119 Kualapa Pl, Unit 19, Kaanapali

$1,995,000

The Vintage at Ka'anapali

119 Kualapa Pl, Unit 19, Kaanapali

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,799 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403472

Hawaii Life (KAP)

New
15 Kiohuohu Ln, Unit 24-2, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

$838,000

Napili Villas

15 Kiohuohu Ln, Unit 24-2, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 894 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403473

Hawaii Life (L)

New Short Term Rental
50 Nohea Kai Dr, Unit 1-703, Kaanapali

$3,800,000

Kaanapali Alii

50 Nohea Kai Dr, Unit 1-703, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,675 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403471

Kaanapali Resort Realty LLC

New
656 S Alu Rd, Wailuku

$1,899,000

Wailuku Heights

656 S Alu Rd, Wailuku

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,842 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403470

Pacific Century Realty

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow is an award-winning Realtor on Maui ranking in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what our clients are saying on Google.

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