Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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New

$3,595,000

Haiku

965 Hog Back Rd, Haiku

3 Beds 4 Baths 3,136 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408112

Days on Market: 0

New

$1,350,000

Wailuku

585 Linekona Pl, Wailuku

7 Beds 4 Baths 3,556 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408111

Days on Market: 1

New

$2,000,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Naele Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 408110

Days on Market: 1

New

$825,000

12th increment

311 S Lehua St, Kahului

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 880 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408108

Days on Market: 2

New

$9,950,000

Wailea Golf Estates

3878 Wailea Ekolu Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 5 Baths 5,638 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408091

Days on Market: 2

New

$4,950,000

Kihei

1598 Halama St, Kihei

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,374 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408090

Days on Market: 2

New

$4,950,000

Kihei

1606 Halama St, Kihei

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,724 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408089

Days on Market: 2

New

$4,495,000

Wailea Point 2904

4000 Wailea Alanui Dr 2904, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,558 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408086

Days on Market: 2

New

$1,417,770

Anuhea at Kehalani

295 Pua Kalaunu Loop, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,524 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408085

Days on Market: 2

New Short Term Rental

$632,500

Mahina Surf 116

4057 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 116, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 547 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408084

Days on Market: 3

New

$2,200,000

Hokulani Golf Villas

2760 Umeka Cir Unit 94, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,902 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408083

Days on Market: 2

New Short Term Rental

$839,000

Hololani A501

4401 Lower Honoapiilani Rd A501, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,066 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408081

Days on Market: 2

New

$2,200,000

Hokulani Golf Villas 94

2760 Umeke Cir 94, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,902 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408082

Days on Market: 2

New Short Term Rental

$1,800,000

Mana Kai 514

2960 S Kihei Rd 514, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 767 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408079

Days on Market: 2

New

$620,000

Walaka Maui 204

112 Walaka St 204, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 734 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408077

Days on Market: 2

New Short Term Rental

$1,100,000

Whaler 713

2481 Kaanapali Pkwy 713, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 523 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408078

Days on Market: 2

New Short Term Rental

$1,300,000

Kihei Beach 410

36 S Kihei Rd 410, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 938 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408076

Days on Market: 2

New

$3,000,000

Kapalua

242 Keoawa St 22, Kapalua

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 408075

Days on Market: 3

New

$3,000,000

Kapalua

238 Keoawa St Lot 21, Kapalua

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 408074

Days on Market: 3

New

$2,095,000

Olinda

1854 Olinda Rd, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,304 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408071

Days on Market: 3

New

$2,300,000

Kula 200

200 Hoopalua Dr, Pukalani

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,156 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408070

Days on Market: 3

New Short Term Rental

$1,295,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR614

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr614, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 700 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408069

Days on Market: 3

New

$8,800,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

33 Hana Hwy, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

4 Beds 3 Baths 3,220 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408067

Days on Market: 3

New Short Term Rental

$988,000

Koa Lagoon 302

800 S Kihei Rd 302, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 647 SqFt Residential MLS® # 408066

Days on Market: 3

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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