Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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2747 S Kihei Rd, Unit I-001, Kihei

$660,000

Kihei Shores

2747 S Kihei Rd, Unit I-001, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,031 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404606

Sunny Maui Vacations

New
28 Lotus Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

$2,395,000

Kahana Ridge

28 Lotus Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4 Beds 4.75 Baths 3,676 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404605

Berkshire Hathaway Maui Prop-L

New Short Term Rental
4865 Uakea Rd, Unit 102, Hana

$1,400,000

Hana Kai-Maui

4865 Uakea Rd, Unit 102, Hana

0 Beds 1 Bath 413 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404603

Clive Realty

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15 Kulanihakoi St, Unit 6d, Kihei

$729,000

15 Kulanihakoi St, Unit 6d, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404602

West Maui Land Company Inc

New
65 Wili Okai Way, Lahaina

$10,450,000

Puunoa

65 Wili Okai Way, Lahaina

5 Beds 5.5 Baths 5,777 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404601

Compass

New Short Term Rental
4310 Lower Honoapiilani Rd, Unit 220, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

$725,000

4310 Lower Honoapiilani Rd, Unit 220, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 920 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404600

Hawaii Life (W)

New
3300 Wailea Alanui Dr, Unit 1e, Wailea/Makena

$1,989,000

Wailea Ekahi

3300 Wailea Alanui Dr, Unit 1e, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 952 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404599

Hawaii Life (W)

New Short Term Rental
110 Kaanapali Shores Pl, Unit 1203, Kaanapali

$835,000

Mahana

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl, Unit 1203, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 456 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404598

Keller Williams Realty Maui-L

New
18 Puuaina Pl, Kahului

$1,500,000

The Islands at Maui Lani

18 Puuaina Pl, Kahului

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,198 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404597

Maui Property Managers LLC

New
172 Holomoana Way, Unit 11b, Wailea/Makena

$2,850,000

Makalii at Wailea

172 Holomoana Way, Unit 11b, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,574 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404595

Island Sotheby's Int'l Rlty(W)

New Short Term Rental
2881 S Kihei Rd, Unit 80, Kihei

$1,200,000

Maui Hill

2881 S Kihei Rd, Unit 80, Kihei

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,395 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404593

Coldwell Banker Island Prop-Ku

New Short Term Rental
2430 S Kihei Rd, Unit 404, Kihei

$2,145,000

2430 S Kihei Rd, Unit 404, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 806 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404591

Coldwell Banker Island Prop-KP

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow is an award-winning Realtor on Maui ranking in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what our clients are saying on Google.

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