Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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$1,499,000

Maui Meadows

3258 Waileia Pl, Maui Meadows

2 Beds 1 Bath 700 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406594

Days on Market: 92

$1,100,000

↓ $295,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3816 Lower Honoapiilani Rd, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 1 Bath 1,052 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405492

Days on Market: 202

$1,399,999

↓ $175,001

Wailuku

1363 Owaka St, Wailuku

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,733 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406360

Days on Market: 118

In Escrow

$1,075,000

Piilani Villages

55 Noolu St, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,256 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406553

Days on Market: 97

$1,174,000

Villas at Kehalani 103

15 Awela Circle 103, Wailuku

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,446 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405401

Days on Market: 209

In Escrow
100 Unahe Pl Lot 5, Kahului

$1,499,000

The Parkways at Maui Lani

100 Unahe Pl Lot 5, Kahului

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,021 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405747

Days on Market: 181

$4,595,000

↓ $250,000

Waipio Bay Partition

311 Door Of Faith Rd, Haiku

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,084 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406400

Days on Market: 113

$1,795,000

Vintage at Kaanapali 51

151 Kualapa Pl 51, Kaanapali

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,184 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404724

Days on Market: 272

$4,400,000

Wailea/Makena

21 Ualei Pl 1, Wailea/Makena

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 403676

Days on Market: 377

$1,199,999

↓ $88,001

Wailuku

209 Muliwai Dr, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,564 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406198

Days on Market: 136

$1,299,000

↓ $70,000

Anuhea

24 Kupaloke St, Wailuku

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,992 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406137

Days on Market: 141

Short Term Rental

$769,000

↓ $30,900

Maui Sunset A514

1032 S Kihei Rd A514, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 681 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404718

Days on Market: 273

Short Term Rental

$877,950

Kaanapali Shores 311

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 311, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 853 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405991

Days on Market: 158

In Escrow

$1,529,000

The Parkways at Maui Lani

116 Unahe Pl Lot 4, Kahului

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,021 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406261

Days on Market: 128

Short Term Rental

$900,000

↓ $25,000

Luana Kai C201

940 S. Kihei Rd C201, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 947 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406608

Days on Market: 91

In Escrow

$1,100,000

↓ $175,000

Ohia at Kehalani

64 Uahaa Pl, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,487 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405851

Days on Market: 172

$2,000,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3863 Mahinahina St, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

7 Beds 5 Baths 3,986 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403834

Days on Market: 362

$850,000

Kaanapali

121 Lewa Lani Pl 19, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405415

Days on Market: 208

$2,295,000

Hokulani Golf Villas 5

700 Halelea St 5, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,516 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406609

Days on Market: 91

$845,500

↓ $44,500

Haiku

3237 Luahine Pl, Haiku

3 Beds 1 Bath 1,088 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406438

Days on Market: 112

In Escrow

$669,000

↓ $50,000

Pukalani

St, Pukalani

2 Beds 1 Bath 500 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406567

Days on Market: 96

$1,795,000

The Vintage at Kaanapali

151 Kualapa Pl 51, Kaanapali

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,184 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406375

Days on Market: 272

$729,000

↓ $6,000

Wailuku

223-c Momi Pl, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,080 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404730

Days on Market: 272

Short Term Rental

$849,000

↓ $20,000

Maui Vista 3402

2191 S Kihei Rd 3402, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 822 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405872

Days on Market: 171

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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