Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

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In Escrow

$1,299,900

Ke Alii Ocean Villas K104

24 Kilolani Ln K104, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,233 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406526

Days on Market: 100

$3,970,000

Mahanalua Nui Phase II

87 Kumu Niu Pl B, Lahaina

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,500 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405921

Days on Market: 165

$1,473,685

The Parkways at Maui Lani

105 Unahe Pl Lot 129a, Kahului

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,230 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406524

Days on Market: 101

$2,195,000

Kahoma Village

601 Hoe Kawele Ln Unit 98, Lahaina

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,436 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406489

Days on Market: 104

In Escrow

$645,000

↓ $54,000

Lahaina

528 Pikanele St, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406459

Days on Market: 108

Short Term Rental

$789,000

Napili Shores E-141

5315 Lower Honoapiilani Rd E-141, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 602 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402845

Days on Market: 468

$685,000

Haleakala Gardens 15D

15 Kulanihakoi St 15d, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406529

Days on Market: 99

Short Term Rental

$995,000

↓ $104,000

Mahana 508

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 508, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 820 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405150

Days on Market: 231

In Escrow

$1,362,815

The Parkways at Maui Lani

84 Unahe Pl Lot 9, Kahului

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,596 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405893

Days on Market: 167

Short Term Rental

$1,400,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR930

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr930, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 615 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405959

Days on Market: 161

$3,479,000

Maluhia Country Ranches

21 Hulumanu Pl, Wailuku

6 Beds 5 Baths 4,742 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406466

Days on Market: 106

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$829,000

↓ $16,000

Lanai

325 Thirteenth St, Lanai

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,092 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402745

Days on Market: 478

$700,000

↑ $1,000

Kihei

2055 Kanoe St B, Kihei

0 Beds 1 Bath 420 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406498

Days on Market: 103

In Escrow

$695,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Makawao Ave, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406510

Days on Market: 104

In Escrow Short Term Rental

$625,000

↓ $40,000

Mahina Surf 113

4057 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 113, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 547 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406538

Days on Market: 99

$765,000

Napili Villas 13-8

43 Polohina Ln 13-8, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 823 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406330

Days on Market: 121

$759,000

Molokai

7406 Kamehameha V Hwy 7406 Kamehameha V Hwy, Molokai

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,108 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406167

Days on Market: 139

Short Term Rental

$799,000

↓ $151,000

Papakea Resort D-401

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd D-401, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 1 Bath 851 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406159

Days on Market: 140

$2,199,000

↓ $100,000

Kahului

616 S Kamehameha Ave, Kahului

6 Beds 4 Baths 3,283 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406486

Days on Market: 105

$13,950,000

Honolua Ridge-Phase 1

114 Keoawa St 16, Kapalua

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,698 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405908

Days on Market: 166

Short Term Rental

$1,150,000

↓ $30,000

Mahana 816

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 816, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 820 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406447

Days on Market: 111

Short Term Rental

$899,900

Haleakala Shores A310

2619 S Kihei Rd A310, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,048 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406517

Days on Market: 102

Short Term Rental

$3,375,000

↓ $100,000

Wailea Elua 2109

3600 Wailea Alanui Dr 2109, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,536 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406511

Days on Market: 102

In Escrow

$950,000

Kawela Planation

441 Uluanui Rd, Molokai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,764 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402866

Days on Market: 466

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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