Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

Sort by:
Short Term Rental

$1,295,000

Grand Champions 21

155 Wailea Ike Pl 21, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,148 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401391

Days on Market: 596

$760,000

White Sea Terrace 5

68 Walaka St 5, Kihei

2 Beds 1.5 Baths 954 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406292

Days on Market: 124

Short Term Rental

$649,000

Hale Mahina B305

3875 Lower Honoapiilani Rd B305, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 799 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402902

Days on Market: 462

$2,450,000

↓ $125,000

Kamehamenui

4010 Kula Hwy, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 2,390 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406508

Days on Market: 102

65 Oliona St Lot 140, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

$1,625,000

Hokuula

65 Oliona St Lot 140, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,095 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405946

Days on Market: 162

293 Na Mahoe St Lot 17, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

$1,455,000

Hokuula

293 Na Mahoe St Lot 17, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,715 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406214

Days on Market: 134

Short Term Rental

$1,180,000

Mahana 101

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 101, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 878 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405753

Days on Market: 179

In Escrow

$999,000

↓ $101,000

Kamalii Alayna

128 Oluea Cir, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,240 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406331

Days on Market: 119

$1,469,000

↓ $61,000

Wailea Palms 2504

3150 Wailea Alanui Dr 2504, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,194 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405824

Days on Market: 173

$8,575,000

↓ $175,000

Makila Ridge

554 Punakea Loop A, Lahaina

5 Beds 5.5 Baths 5,863 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406518

Days on Market: 101

$1,215,000

↓ $15,000

Waikapu Gardens

159 Iniiniki St, Wailuku

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,452 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406444

Days on Market: 111

$850,000

Opukea at Lahaina G203

1870 Limahana Cir G203, Lahaina

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,369 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404157

Days on Market: 328

$1,149,000

↓ $51,000

Paradise Ridge Estates 801

2757 S Kihei Rd 801, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,389 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406527

Days on Market: 99

In Escrow

$915,000

↑ $16,000

Kamani at Kehalani 23

109 Hoolaau St 23, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,425 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406160

Days on Market: 139

0 N Holokai Rd, Haiku

$4,500,000

↓ $600,000

Haiku

0 N Holokai Rd, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404687

Days on Market: 275

$2,100,000

↓ $50,000

Pacific Terrace

2597 Moolio Pl, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,912 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406469

Days on Market: 106

$1,680,000

↑ $105,000

Kihei

2055 Kanoe St A, Kihei

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,435 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406497

Days on Market: 103

In Escrow

$695,000

Olopua

337 Ahakea St, Lanai

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 912 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405107

Days on Market: 236

Short Term Rental

$927,000

Haleakala Shores A-207

2619 S Kihei Rd A-207, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,048 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406496

Days on Market: 103

In Escrow

$705,000

Lanai

1320 Jasmine Dr, Lanai

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,106 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405256

Days on Market: 222

Short Term Rental

$3,295,000

Whaler 701

2481 Kaanapali Pkwy 701, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 941 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405917

Days on Market: 165

In Escrow

$1,725,000

Hokuula

0 Haliimaile Rd Lot 27, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,456 SqFt Residential MLS® # 398922

Days on Market: 886

Short Term Rental

$785,000

↓ $25,000

Kahana Villa F-207

4242 Lower Honoapiilani Rd F-207, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,268 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405589

Days on Market: 193

In Escrow

$1,325,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3020 Lower Kula Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

4 Beds 1 Bath 1,312 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406506

Days on Market: 102

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

Provide a valid email address.
Newsletter consent

 


Posted by Evan Harlow R(S) on
Email Send a link to post via Email

Leave A Comment

e.g. yourwebsitename.com
Please note that your email address is kept private upon posting.