Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

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In Escrow

$1,725,000

Hokuula

0 Haliimaile Rd Lot 27, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,456 SqFt Residential MLS® # 398922

Days on Market: 886

Short Term Rental

$785,000

↓ $25,000

Kahana Villa F-207

4242 Lower Honoapiilani Rd F-207, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,268 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405589

Days on Market: 193

In Escrow

$1,325,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3020 Lower Kula Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

4 Beds 1 Bath 1,312 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406506

Days on Market: 102

In Escrow

$1,395,000

↓ $100,000

Akolea at Kehalani

160 Kinohi Loa Loop Loop, Wailuku

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,496 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406130

Days on Market: 142

$2,200,000

Haiku

744 Kai Huki Cir Lot 9, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406354

Days on Market: 118

24 Paa St 53a, Kahului

$1,404,000

Kahului

24 Paa St 53a, Kahului

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 389292

Days on Market: 1800

$7,900,000

↓ $1,400,000

Maalaea

210 Hauoli St, Maalaea

2 Beds 2 Baths 2,154 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404998

Days on Market: 246

$995,000

↓ $100,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR330

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr330, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 765 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405371

Days on Market: 211

$658,000

Maui Realty Suites 508

1885 Main St 508, Wailuku

1 Bed 2 Baths 892 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406202

Days on Market: 134

$749,900

↓ $20,000

Kahului

225 S Papa Ave, Kahului

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,076 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405895

Days on Market: 167

Short Term Rental

$995,000

Hale Kamaole 330

2737 S Kihei Rd 330, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,112 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406434

Days on Market: 111

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$4,950,000

Kaanapali

26 E Mahi Pua Pl, Kaanapali

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,415 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405458

Days on Market: 204

$1,499,999

↓ $35,001

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

1733 Piiholo Rd, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,755 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406206

Days on Market: 134

Short Term Rental

$6,750,000

Montage Residences Kapalua Bay 1204

1 Bay Dr 1204, Kapalua

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,789 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406018

Days on Market: 155

$750,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

24 Ka'alele Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402833

Days on Market: 470

$4,750,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

29 Hana Hwy, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 894 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406430

Days on Market: 111

In Escrow

$1,725,000

Hokuula

93 Hokupa St Lot 28, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,456 SqFt Residential MLS® # 398923

Days on Market: 886

$2,350,000

Kapalua Ridge 2221-22

100 Ridge Rd 2221-22, Kapalua

2 Beds 3 Baths 2,007 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405799

Days on Market: 175

$1,200,000

↓ $200,000

Highlands at Kehalani

112 Kilioopu St, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,502 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404881

Days on Market: 257

Short Term Rental

$639,900

Kihei Garden Estates 106C

1299 Uluniu Rd 106c, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 640 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406251

Days on Market: 127

In Escrow

$950,000

↓ $25,000

The New Traditions

62 Meheu Cir, Kahului

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,314 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405542

Days on Market: 197

$1,400,000

↓ $100,000

Launiupoko

68 Awaiku St Unit B, Lahaina

2 Beds 2 Baths 990 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406263

Days on Market: 126

Short Term Rental

$950,000

Island Surf 600

1993 S Kihei Rd 600, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 921 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406482

Days on Market: 105

$26,000,000

Plantation Estates

215 Plantation Club Dr, Kapalua

4 Beds 7 Baths 8,186 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402601

Days on Market: 491

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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