Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

Sort by:
Short Term Rental

$1,585,000

↓ $65,000

Kapalua Golf Villas 25 P 3-4

500 Kapalua Dr 25 P 3-4, Kapalua

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,344 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405686

Days on Market: 187

$1,250,000

Makawao

92 Makalani Pl, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,024 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405292

Days on Market: 220

$1,099,000

↓ $25,000

Hana

979 Hana Hwy, Hana

6 Beds 3 Baths 3,280 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406166

Days on Market: 140

Short Term Rental

$1,449,000

Maui Banyan G409

2575 S Kihei Rd G409, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 900 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404592

Days on Market: 285

$3,800,000

↓ $450,000

Pineapple Hill

324 Cook Pine Dr, Kapalua

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,670 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405060

Days on Market: 240

Short Term Rental

$1,425,000

International Colony Club 2

2750 Kalapu Dr 2, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,300 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404498

Days on Market: 295

$600,000

↓ $25,000

Iao Parkside 22-201

1010 Eha St 22-201, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 960 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405847

Days on Market: 173

Short Term Rental

$1,099,000

Alaeloa 41

20 Hui Rd I 41, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,347 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406371

Days on Market: 118

Short Term Rental

$1,195,000

Mahana 214

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 214, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 820 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405543

Days on Market: 198

$1,350,000

Wailea Ekahi 41B

3300 Wailea Alanui Dr 41b, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 969 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406424

Days on Market: 113

$1,375,000

Wailuku Heights

219 Ekoa Pl, Wailuku

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 1,240 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405934

Days on Market: 163

Short Term Rental

$2,095,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR610

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr610, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,100 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406367

Days on Market: 118

$2,175,000

Kahana Ridge

28 Lotus Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4 Beds 4.75 Baths 3,676 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404605

Days on Market: 284

$6,250,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

116 Kuau Beach Pl, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,780 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406427

Days on Market: 112

Short Term Rental

$777,000

↓ $22,900

Maui Parkshore 105

2653 S Kihei Rd 105, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 890 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405173

Days on Market: 230

$900,000

Lahaina

418 Waine'e St, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406402

Days on Market: 114

$4,695,000

↓ $405,000

Wailea Point 801

4000 Wailea Alanui Dr 801, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 4 Baths 2,554 SqFt Residential MLS® # 400755

Days on Market: 658

$7,500,000

↓ $495,000

Papaua Place

43 Papaua Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

5 Beds 4 Baths 4,000 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405324

Days on Market: 217

Short Term Rental

$1,145,000

Kauhale Makai 309

938 S Kihei Rd 309, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 799 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406464

Days on Market: 108

$1,999,808

Haiku Road Subdivision

22 Hale Lio Pl, Haiku

3 Beds 3 Baths 2,159 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405567

Days on Market: 196

Short Term Rental

$1,585,000

Palms at Wailea 1903

3200 Wailea Alanui Dr 1903, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,194 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406441

Days on Market: 111

Short Term Rental

$880,000

Maui Hill D41

2881 S Kihei Rd D41, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 817 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406401

Days on Market: 114

$1,159,999

↓ $35,001

Haleakala Village

5 Waikalani Pl, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,774 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406381

Days on Market: 118

$988,000

Liholani Golf Villas

2740 Liholani St 3, Pukalani

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,409 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406318

Days on Market: 252

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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