Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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$5,600,000

Wailea Point 901

4000 Wailea Alanui Dr 901, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 4 Baths 2,554 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406350

Days on Market: 119

$1,649,000

↓ $201,000

Keonekai Heights

2670 Kanakanui Rd, Kihei

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,948 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406454

Days on Market: 110

$1,150,000

Kihei

2730 Ohina St, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,256 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405955

Days on Market: 163

$2,995,000

Mahanalua Nui Phase IV

206 Wailau Pl B, Lahaina

2 Beds 1.5 Baths 1,486 SqFt Residential MLS® # 400980

Days on Market: 635

$3,750,000

Wailea Golf Estates

3919 Waakaula Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 3 Baths 3,839 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406237

Days on Market: 131

In Escrow

$1,975,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

151 Kula Io Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 397964

Days on Market: 1002

In Escrow

$1,595,000

Hokuula

20 Hokupa St Lot 179, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,960 SqFt Residential MLS® # 397765

Days on Market: 1027

$1,949,000

↓ $50,500

Kili Nahe

22 & 18 Kili Nahe St Lot 2, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,816 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403404

Days on Market: 411

$800,000

Kihei

47 W Kapu Pl B, Kihei

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406467

Days on Market: 107

$619,000

↓ $6,000

Paukukalo

613 Kalakaua St, Wailuku

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,711 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403169

Days on Market: 436

In Escrow

$799,000

Rice Camp

752 Noholani St, Haiku

2 Beds 1 Bath 1,012 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406428

Days on Market: 112

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$2,999,000

↓ $200,000

Kilohana Hema

153 Hokai Pl, Kihei

5 Beds 3 Baths 3,175 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404700

Days on Market: 275

In Escrow

$1,150,000

↓ $42,000

Kealahou Farm Lots

332 Kolohala Dr, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

2 Beds 1 Bath 714 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406417

Days on Market: 113

$5,400,000

Wailea Point 3003

4000 Wailea Alanui Dr 3003, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,620 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406458

Days on Market: 110

Short Term Rental

$1,195,000

Kaanapali Shores 361

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 361, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,078 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404283

Days on Market: 317

$4,670,000

Montage Residences Kapalua Bay 4505

1 Bay Dr 4505, Kapalua

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,087 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406396

Days on Market: 114

$2,495,000

WAILEA KIALOA

221 E Ikea Kai Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 4 Baths 3,191 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405105

Days on Market: 237

$25,000,000

Wailea/Makena

7595 Makena Rd, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,778 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402062

Days on Market: 535

$1,700,000

Haiku

610 Kai Huki Cir Lot 13, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406355

Days on Market: 119

In Escrow

$1,395,000

Hokuula

0 Haliimaile Rd Lot 175, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,082 SqFt Residential MLS® # 397763

Days on Market: 1027

$2,695,000

↓ $304,000

Kaanapali Hillside

13 N Piki Pl, Kaanapali

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,559 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405213

Days on Market: 226

$1,399,000

↓ $51,000

Old Sandhills

272 Halenani Dr, Wailuku

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,636 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405412

Days on Market: 209

Short Term Rental

$875,000

↓ $24,000

Polynesian Shores 221

3975 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 221, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 755 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402225

Days on Market: 523

Short Term Rental

$1,499,000

Kihei Beach 606

36 S Kihei Rd 606, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 800 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406059

Days on Market: 152

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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