Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$1,499,000

Kihei Beach 606

36 S Kihei Rd 606, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 800 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406059

Days on Market: 152

$3,750,000

Wailea Kialoa

194 E Panana Pl, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3 Baths 3,024 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405892

Days on Market: 168

$1,375,000

Ke Alii Ocean Villas E104

18 Upena Ln E104, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,233 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405761

Days on Market: 180

$1,050,000

↓ $40,000

Villas at Kehalani 2803

66 Awela Cir 2803, Wailuku

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,446 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405951

Days on Market: 163

Short Term Rental

$690,000

Kihei Akahi C414

2531 S Kihei Rd C414, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 655 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405372

Days on Market: 212

$1,290,000

Kamalii Alayna

118 Waiapo Pl, Kihei

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,560 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401137

Days on Market: 622

$5,595,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

1521 Kanaio-kalama Park Lot C Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

4 Beds 4 Baths 3,667 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406055

Days on Market: 152

$1,350,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Makana Rd, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406462

Days on Market: 109

Short Term Rental

$2,750,000

Terraces Manele Bay 2B

79 Kapihaa Pl 2b, Lanai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,972 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404530

Days on Market: 291

$4,995,000

Hana

51 Kapohue Rd, Hana

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,295 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405464

Days on Market: 204

In Escrow

$1,625,000

Hokuula

80 Hokupa St Lot 184, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,960 SqFt Residential MLS® # 397766

Days on Market: 1027

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$4,995,000

Lanikeha

837 Anapuni Loop, Kaanapali

4 Beds 5 Baths 3,710 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404626

Days on Market: 282

Short Term Rental

$1,650,000

↓ $100,000

Whaler 1269

2481 Kaanapali Pkwy 1269, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 905 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405264

Days on Market: 222

$1,495,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

301 Paani Pl Unit D, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405196

Days on Market: 230

$720,000

Hana

18 Kauiki St, Hana

2 Beds 1 Bath 1,072 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406276

Days on Market: 126

Short Term Rental

$1,550,000

Wailea Ekolu 203

10 Wailea Ekolu Pl 203, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,071 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406393

Days on Market: 116

$2,995,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

Hoomaikai Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405688

Days on Market: 187

$1,680,000

Kawela Plantation 2

188 Ulua Rd, Molokai

5 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,617 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405942

Days on Market: 163

$1,200,000

Milowai 411

50 Hauoli St 411, Maalaea

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,553 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404314

Days on Market: 314

$615,000

↓ $40,000

Kihei Villages 48-103

140 Uwapo Rd 48-103, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 742 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405578

Days on Market: 195

Short Term Rental

$3,250,000

The Ritz Carlton Residences 1126-1128

1 Ritz Carlton Dr 1126-1128, Kapalua

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,398 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403903

Days on Market: 355

Short Term Rental

$1,775,000

Palms at Wailea 1505

3200 Wailea Alanui Dr 1505, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,194 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404349

Days on Market: 310

In Escrow

$1,999,900

↓ $100,100

Kihei

2563 Umeke Cir 64, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,831 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406181

Days on Market: 139

$1,495,000

↓ $80,000

Haiku

8040 Hana Hwy, Haiku

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,680 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406376

Days on Market: 117

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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