Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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$750,000

Lahaina

1701 Hooli St, Lahaina

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,396 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404566

Days on Market: 289

Short Term Rental

$799,000

Shores of Maui 216

2075 S Kihei Rd 216, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 626 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406305

Days on Market: 126

In Escrow

$2,688,000

Kahului

145 W Kane St, Kahului

6 Beds 3 Baths 2,168 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402697

Days on Market: 486

$10,700,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

337 Kealakapu Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 3,260 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404886

Days on Market: 260

Short Term Rental

$950,000

↓ $25,000

Kapalua Ridge 2712

100 Ridge Rd 2712, Kapalua

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,125 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405773

Days on Market: 181

$4,950,000

↓ $515,000

Hana

1600 Lower Nahiku Rd, Hana

4 Beds 4 Baths 3,200 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406329

Days on Market: 123

$1,250,000

↓ $150,000

Ohukai

356 Hoalike St, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,892 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406309

Days on Market: 126

$1,925,000

↓ $275,000

Hana

41049 Hana Hwy, Hana

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,453 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406335

Days on Market: 122

$15,500,000

Keawakapu Beach

3002 S Kihei Rd, Kihei

3 Beds 3 Baths 5,468 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406314

Days on Market: 124

$3,200,000

Maui Meadows

563 Mikioi Pl, Maui Meadows

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 3,310 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406379

Days on Market: 119

Short Term Rental

$1,625,000

Maalaea Surf E2

12 S Kihei Rd E2, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 759 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406300

Days on Market: 126

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Short Term Rental

$899,000

Papakea Resort L304

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd L304, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 597 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406328

Days on Market: 123

Short Term Rental

$699,000

↓ $100,000

Shores of Maui 214

2075 S Kihei Rd 214, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 751 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406019

Days on Market: 157

Short Term Rental

$1,899,000

Palms at Wailea 1606

3200 Wailea Alanui Dr 1606, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,299 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406308

Days on Market: 126

In Escrow Short Term Rental

$899,000

Grand Champions 67

155 Wailea Ike Pl 67, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 908 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403859

Days on Market: 361

Short Term Rental

$749,000

↓ $40,000

Kihei Holiday 217

483 S Kihei Rd 217, Kihei

2 Beds 1 Bath 880 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405681

Days on Market: 189

$1,750,000

Kapalua

301 Plantation Estates Dr, Kapalua

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402771

Days on Market: 480

In Escrow Short Term Rental

$1,135,000

Lauloa 106

100 Hauoli St 106, Maalaea

2 Beds 2 Baths 950 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406247

Days on Market: 130

Short Term Rental

$3,100,000

↓ $200,000

Wailea Elua 708

3600 Wailea Alanui Dr 708, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,259 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403534

Days on Market: 395

Short Term Rental

$629,000

↓ $26,000

Kihei Akahi D-108

2531 S Kihei Rd D-108, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 655 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404411

Days on Market: 309

Short Term Rental

$1,280,000

Kapalua Bay Villas 12G4

500 Bay Dr 12g4, Kapalua

1 Bed 1 Bath 1,006 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405962

Days on Market: 164

$995,000

↓ $54,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

15 Apali Way, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405661

Days on Market: 190

$1,247,000

↓ $50,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

33 Haku Hale Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,372 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405400

Days on Market: 212

Short Term Rental

$799,500

Sugar Beach Resort 408

145 N Kihei Rd 408, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 613 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405487

Days on Market: 205

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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