Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$1,700,000

Maalaea Surf C9

12 S Kihei Rd C9, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,101 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406377

Days on Market: 120

Short Term Rental

$869,000

Grand Champions 145

155 Wailea Ike Pl 145, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 908 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405625

Days on Market: 194

Short Term Rental

$695,000

Kaanapali Shores 530

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 530, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 717 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406390

Days on Market: 119

$1,599,000

Pukalani Terrace and Coun

2874 Ualani Pl, Pukalani

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,476 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405504

Days on Market: 205

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$1,200,000

Wailuku

2170 Kahookele St, Wailuku

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,093 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405463

Days on Market: 208

$1,800,000

Ke Alii Kai

160 Kuli Puu St, Kihei

5 Beds 3 Baths 2,164 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406311

Days on Market: 126

Short Term Rental

$675,000

↓ $25,000

Kauhale Makai 403

938 S Kihei Rd 403, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 686 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404360

Days on Market: 313

Short Term Rental

$1,500,000

Honokeana Cove 119

5255 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 119, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 517 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405496

Days on Market: 205

$2,195,000

Maui Meadows

679 Kaapuni Pl, Maui Meadows

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,530 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406277

Days on Market: 129

Short Term Rental

$699,000

Kaanapali Shores 231

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 231, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 717 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404995

Days on Market: 250

$695,000

Kaupo

0 Kaupo Gap Rd, Kaupo

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406336

Days on Market: 123

Short Term Rental

$1,325,000

↓ $174,000

Grand Champions 34

155 Wailea Ike Pl 34, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,148 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406091

Days on Market: 151

$5,000,000

Wailea Point 2502

4000 Wailea Alanui Dr 2502, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 4 Baths 2,419 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401515

Days on Market: 590

$949,000

↓ $39,000

Liholani Golf Villas #3

2740 Liholani St #3, Pukalani

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,409 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404950

Days on Market: 255

Short Term Rental

$635,000

Kamaole Sands 1 204

2695 S Kihei Rd 1 204, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 818 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406315

Days on Market: 127

Short Term Rental

$1,600,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR540

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr540, Kaanapali

2 Beds 1 Bath 915 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404997

Days on Market: 249

$4,650,000

Kula I'o

173 Huahua Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

5 Beds 5 Baths 3,593 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405525

Days on Market: 202

$1,800,000

Kaanapali

955 Anapuni Pl 65, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406374

Days on Market: 121

$1,250,000

Wailuku

409 Waiehu Beach Rd, Wailuku

2 Beds 1 Bath 864 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404035

Days on Market: 344

$2,390,000

Wailuku Heights

516 Polulani Dr, Wailuku

4 Beds 4 Baths 3,556 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404215

Days on Market: 326

Short Term Rental

$2,640,000

Wailea Elua 1101

3600 Wailea Alanui Dr 1101, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 1 Bath 891 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406386

Days on Market: 119

In Escrow

$1,650,000

Wailuku

176 N River Road Rd 176 River Road, Wailuku

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,628 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404461

Days on Market: 322

$3,900,000

Pineapple Hill

212 Crestview Rd, Kapalua

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,674 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406358

Days on Market: 122

$2,699,000

↓ $51,000

Maui Meadows

487 Hoala Dr, Maui Meadows

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,296 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405167

Days on Market: 234

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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