Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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$2,699,000

↓ $51,000

Maui Meadows

487 Hoala Dr, Maui Meadows

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,296 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405167

Days on Market: 234

In Escrow

$1,999,900

↓ $100,100

Hokulani Golf Villas 64

2563 Umeke Cir 64, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,831 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406180

Days on Market: 142

$6,500,000

Lanikeha

955 Anapuni Pl 65, Kaanapali

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,481 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406373

Days on Market: 121

In Escrow

$1,549,000

Anuhea at Kehalani

115 Nanu Pl, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,581 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406306

Days on Market: 127

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$795,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

Kula Hwy, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 399216

Days on Market: 854

In Escrow

$1,680,000

↓ $170,000

Maui Meadows

3100 Mapu Pl, Maui Meadows

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,536 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406342

Days on Market: 123

In Escrow

$729,000

Iliahi at Kehalani 1-A

21 Kamauhalii Way 1-a, Wailuku

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,242 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405476

Days on Market: 207

$895,000

↓ $100,000

Auhana Kuleana 202

90 Auhana Rd 202, Kihei

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,498 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406337

Days on Market: 123

$11,998,000

The Ridge at Wailea

14 Halapa Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 5,126 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406282

Days on Market: 129

$1,999,000

↓ $51,000

Wailea Palms 3103

3150 Wailea Alanui Dr 3103, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,559 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406369

Days on Market: 121

In Escrow

$1,699,000

↓ $100,000

Wailea Fairway Villas L-101

3950 Kalai Waa St L-101, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,568 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404444

Days on Market: 306

$1,525,000

Ke Alii Ocean Villas F203

28 Hauwahine Ln F203, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,375 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406242

Days on Market: 134

In Escrow

$1,685,000

Hokuula

0 Haliimaile Rd Lot 19, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,095 SqFt Residential MLS® # 397749

Days on Market: 1030

$1,580,000

↓ $110,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

568 Hana Hwy B, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

4 Beds 4 Baths 2,016 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406001

Days on Market: 159

$1,250,000

↓ $49,000

Wailea Fairway Villas C202

3950 Kalai Waa St C202, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 949 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406248

Days on Market: 131

$1,350,000

↓ $145,000

North Shore Village

19 Hoku Pl, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,112 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406054

Days on Market: 155

In Escrow

$2,395,000

Huelo

29 Door Of Faith Rd, Haiku

3 Beds 3 Baths 3,151 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405756

Days on Market: 183

In Escrow

$4,888,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

519 Hana Hwy, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,309 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403953

Days on Market: 351

Short Term Rental

$2,199,000

Kapalua Ridge 1911-13

100 Ridge Rd 1911-13, Kapalua

2 Beds 3 Baths 2,114 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406259

Days on Market: 131

$1,317,910

The Parkways at Maui Lani

101 Unahe Pl Lot 127-b, Kahului

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,596 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406015

Days on Market: 158

$9,875,000

↓ $1,125,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

730 Lower Kimo Dr, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 4 Baths 7,102 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405489

Days on Market: 206

$895,000

Hale Royale D101

3788 Lower Honoapiilani Rd D101, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,122 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406252

Days on Market: 131

In Escrow
96 Unahe Pl Lot 6, Kahului

$1,453,000

The Parkways at Maui Lani

96 Unahe Pl Lot 6, Kahului

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,965 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406127

Days on Market: 148

$750,000

↓ $75,000

Wailuku

673 Kauna Lipo Dr 18, Wailuku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 399829

Days on Market: 766

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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