Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$950,000

↓ $40,000

Kamaole Sands 2-301

2695 S Kihei Rd 2-301, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,036 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406205

Days on Market: 138

Short Term Rental

$1,350,000

Kapalua Ridge 2914

100 Ridge Rd 2914, Kapalua

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,125 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401176

Days on Market: 621

Short Term Rental

$875,000

↓ $24,000

Hololani A-103

4401 Lower Honoapiilani Rd A-103, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,103 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403984

Days on Market: 349

$3,450,000

↓ $545,000

Kuiaha-Pauwela Homesteads

785 W Kuiaha Rd, Haiku

5 Beds 3.5 Baths 5,316 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405168

Days on Market: 234

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$2,100,000

Hokulani Golf Villas 121

2177 Hihimanu St 121, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,831 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404722

Days on Market: 276

Short Term Rental

$1,415,000

Kaanapali Royal C202

2560 Kekaa Dr C202, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,570 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406031

Days on Market: 157

$1,295,000

Haiku

3217 Luahine Pl, Haiku

3 Beds 1.5 Baths 1,120 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405989

Days on Market: 162

$875,000

↓ $24,000

Kauhale Nani

119 Kupalaiki Loop, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 1,152 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406177

Days on Market: 142

$1,375,000

↓ $24,000

Anuhea at Kehalani

281 Pua Kalaunu Loop, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,638 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405865

Days on Market: 173

Short Term Rental

$2,495,000

Kaanapali Alii 2-702

50 Nohea Kai Dr 2-702, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,441 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406233

Days on Market: 135

$2,250,000

↓ $149,000

Hokulani Golf Villas

357 Umeke St 144, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,548 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405815

Days on Market: 178

$3,650,000

Wailea Kialoa

162 W Ikea Kai Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,843 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406221

Days on Market: 137

Short Term Rental

$2,850,000

Kapalua Bay Villas 28B2

500 Bay Dr 28b2, Kapalua

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,447 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404285

Days on Market: 320

$785,000

Kaanapali Shores 936

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 936, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 507 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406002

Days on Market: 159

$1,299,900

Anuhea at Kehalani

63 Pua Kalaunu Loop Lot 37, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,744 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402528

Days on Market: 502

In Escrow

$1,395,000

Wailea Palms 3007

3150 Wailea Alanui Dr 3007, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,022 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406232

Days on Market: 136

$995,000

Kaanapali

56 E Mahi Pua Pl, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404926

Days on Market: 257

In Escrow

$1,999,999

↓ $100,001

The Vintage at Kaanapali

105 Kualapa Pl 5, Kaanapali

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,330 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405078

Days on Market: 242

$800,000

Lahaina

660 Luakini St, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404364

Days on Market: 312

$1,453,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Omaopio Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402559

Days on Market: 500

Short Term Rental

$1,399,000

↓ $50,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani 719

130 Kai Malina Pkwy 719, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 595 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406201

Days on Market: 139

$4,000,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

210 Napoko Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,200 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404282

Days on Market: 320

Short Term Rental

$4,200,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR325

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr325, Kaanapali

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,600 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403317

Days on Market: 422

$1,479,000

Masters 3901

50 Puu Anoano St 3901, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,269 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406273

Days on Market: 129

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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