Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

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In Escrow

$1,999,999

↓ $100,001

The Vintage at Kaanapali

105 Kualapa Pl 5, Kaanapali

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,330 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405078

Days on Market: 244

$800,000

Lahaina

660 Luakini St, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404364

Days on Market: 314

$1,453,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Omaopio Rd, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402559

Days on Market: 502

Short Term Rental

$1,399,000

↓ $50,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani 719

130 Kai Malina Pkwy 719, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 595 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406201

Days on Market: 141

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$4,000,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

210 Napoko Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,200 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404282

Days on Market: 322

Short Term Rental

$4,200,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR325

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr325, Kaanapali

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,600 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403317

Days on Market: 424

$1,479,000

Masters 3901

50 Puu Anoano St 3901, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,269 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406273

Days on Market: 131

Short Term Rental

$779,000

↓ $70,900

Maui Parkshore 114

2653 S Kihei Rd 114, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 890 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403911

Days on Market: 356

$1,995,000

Kahana Ridge

140 Kahana Ridge Dr, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,875 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406262

Days on Market: 132

Short Term Rental

$2,235,000

Wailea Ekahi 3A

3300 Wailea Alanui St 3a, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,575 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405957

Days on Market: 168

$2,800,000

↓ $150,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

11 Piina Pl, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

8 Beds 4 Baths 4,026 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406229

Days on Market: 137

Short Term Rental

$650,000

Kahana Reef 202

4471 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 202, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 611 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406083

Days on Market: 154

Short Term Rental

$729,000

↓ $50,000

Kihei Akahi C 308

2531 S Kihei Rd C 308, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 655 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404808

Days on Market: 271

$2,499,000

Lahaina

Lau Awa Pl Lot 23, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405154

Days on Market: 237

$1,504,120

The Parkways at Maui Lani

92 Unahe Pl Lot 7, Kahului

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,021 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405890

Days on Market: 173

$1,475,000

↓ $115,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

33 Hoku Pl, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,141 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405897

Days on Market: 172

In Escrow

$1,268,000

↓ $30,000

Pukalani

125 Hiwalani Loop, Pukalani

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,560 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405039

Days on Market: 247

$1,275,000

↓ $75,000

Kaupo

34701 Piilani Hwy, Kaupo

1 Bed 1 Bath 1,000 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405926

Days on Market: 170

$675,000

Kaanapali

203 Welau Way, Kaanapali

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404925

Days on Market: 259

Short Term Rental

$1,099,000

Kihei Alii Kai A403

2387 S Kihei Rd A403, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 850 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405058

Days on Market: 245

$650,000

Wailuku

147 Moolu Cir, Wailuku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 406086

Days on Market: 153

$1,290,000

↓ $100,000

Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3808 Lower Honoapiilani Rd, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2 Baths 956 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405993

Days on Market: 164

Short Term Rental

$2,475,000

↓ $75,000

Mahana 609

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 609, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,214 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401686

Days on Market: 575

In Escrow

$1,190,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

1440 Kekaulike Ave, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

1 Bed 1 Bath 1,284 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405228

Days on Market: 234

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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