Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

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In Escrow

$1,999,999

↓ $100,001

Vintage at Kaanapali 105

105 Kualapa Pl 105, Kaanapali

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,330 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404702

Days on Market: 281

$1,189,000

Masters 503

50 Puu Anoano St 503, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1.5 Baths 901 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406072

Days on Market: 155

In Escrow

$1,370,000

Haiku

943 Kokomo Rd, Haiku

5 Beds 3 Baths 1,905 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405638

Days on Market: 200

$1,120,000

↓ $5,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

583 Laie Dr A, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,404 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403821

Days on Market: 370

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Short Term Rental

$1,099,000

Maalaea Kai 403

70 Hauoli St 403, Maalaea

2 Beds 2 Baths 824 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405722

Days on Market: 189

$2,199,000

Maui Meadows

521 Kupulau Dr, Maui Meadows

3 Beds 2 Baths 2,111 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404409

Days on Market: 313

Short Term Rental

$1,188,000

Kaanapali Shores 423

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 423, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 964 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405396

Days on Market: 216

Short Term Rental

$1,349,000

Kahana Sunset A8

4909 Lower Honoapiilani Rd A8, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,064 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404094

Days on Market: 340

$2,200,000

Hokulani Golf Villas

1699 Hihimanu St 11, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,548 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405469

Days on Market: 210

$16,000,000

Mahana Estates

210 Naio Pl, Kapalua

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,720 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403334

Days on Market: 451

$1,700,000

Haiku

0 Haumana Rd Unit A, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 401931

Days on Market: 553

Short Term Rental

$1,376,000

Hana Kai-Maui 102

4865 Uakea Rd 102, Hana

0 Beds 1 Bath 413 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404603

Days on Market: 290

$3,100,000

↓ $400,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

16 Kekaulike Ave, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 3,215 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405373

Days on Market: 218

Short Term Rental

$899,000

Kihei Alii Kai C108

2387 S Kihei Rd C108, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 945 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406022

Days on Market: 161

Short Term Rental

$1,495,000

Wailea Ekolu 405

10 Wailea Ekolu Pl 405, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,071 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405164

Days on Market: 237

Short Term Rental

$839,000

Mahana 513

110 Kaanapali Shores Pl 513, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 456 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406068

Days on Market: 156

Short Term Rental

$1,500,000

↓ $300,000

Kaanapali Alii 2-1106

50 Nohea Kai Dr 2-1106, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,669 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406154

Days on Market: 147

Short Term Rental

$799,000

Maui Kamaole D104

2777 S Kihei Rd D104, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,039 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403937

Days on Market: 355

$1,325,000

Molokai

254 Kalua Koi Rd, Molokai

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402639

Days on Market: 495

$1,645,000

↓ $50,000

Masters 4207

50 Puu Anoano St 4207, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,269 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406148

Days on Market: 148

Short Term Rental

$899,000

↓ $96,000

Kihei Akahi D115

2531 S Kihei Rd D115, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405734

Days on Market: 188

$15,000,000

Hana

40723 Hana Hwy, Hana

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,812 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402660

Days on Market: 607

Short Term Rental

$3,749,000

Honua Kai - Luana Garden Villas 3C

130 Kai Malina Pkwy 3c, Kaanapali

3 Beds 3 Baths 2,047 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404232

Days on Market: 328

Short Term Rental

$1,539,000

Wailea Ekolu 201

10 Wailea Ekolu Pl 201, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,071 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406094

Days on Market: 153

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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