Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$1,750,000

Alaeloa 42

20 Hui Rd I 42, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,128 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405601

Days on Market: 200

$1,499,000

↓ $86,000

Lanai

538 Akahi Pl, Lanai

4 Beds 2 Baths 1,120 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406064

Days on Market: 158

$1,900,000

Kapalua

205 Keoawa St Lot 7, Kapalua

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405922

Days on Market: 172

Short Term Rental

$990,000

Maui Kamaole L-105

2777 S Kihei Rd L-105, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,039 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401796

Days on Market: 566

$635,000

↓ $64,000

Bay Vista Apts 4

2140 Awihi Pl 4, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 878 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405763

Days on Market: 186

$1,575,000

Paradise Ridge Estates 403

2757 S Kihei Rd 403, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,389 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404693

Days on Market: 281

$699,000

Haleakala Gardens 6D

15 Kulanihakoi St 6d, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404602

Days on Market: 290

Short Term Rental

$1,493,000

Kaanapali Plantation 18

150 Puukolii Rd 18, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,545 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406150

Days on Market: 148

In Escrow
97 Unahe Pl Lot 126a, Kahului

$1,365,260

Parkways at Maui Lani

97 Unahe Pl Lot 126a, Kahului

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,965 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405973

Days on Market: 167

Short Term Rental

$999,000

Luana Kai B212

940 S Kihei Rd B212, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 947 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405381

Days on Market: 218

Short Term Rental

$815,000

Kaanapali Shores 921

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 921, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 507 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405175

Days on Market: 237

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$1,285,000

↓ $65,000

Wailea Fairway Villas Y-202

3950 Kalai Waa St Y-202, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 949 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405797

Days on Market: 182

$1,750,000

Keala O Wailea 7-203

71 Wailea Gateway Pl 7-203, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,241 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406139

Days on Market: 148

$1,899,000

↓ $90,000

Kelawea Mauka III

912 N Niheu Pl, Lahaina

5 Beds 3 Baths 3,000 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405067

Days on Market: 247

$2,200,000

Hokulani Golf Villas 11

1699 Hihimanu St 11, Kihei

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,548 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405468

Days on Market: 210

Short Term Rental

$839,000

↓ $56,000

Maui Parkshore 212

2653 S Kihei Rd 212, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 890 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405069

Days on Market: 245

Short Term Rental

$759,000

↓ $40,000

Hale Kai 211

3691 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 211, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 988 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405068

Days on Market: 246

$2,688,889

Kahului

37 E Papa Ave, Kahului

8 Beds 5 Baths 3,452 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402499

Days on Market: 509

$1,395,000

↓ $80,000

Wailuku Heights

263 S Alu Rd, Wailuku

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,584 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404078

Days on Market: 341

In Escrow

$1,949,999

Kahana Ridge

16 Kahana Ridge Dr, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,795 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404290

Days on Market: 322

Short Term Rental

$849,000

Kaanapali Shores 741

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 741, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 717 SqFt Residential MLS® # 401601

Days on Market: 586

In Escrow Short Term Rental

$1,300,000

Maui Kaanapali Villas A108

45 Kai Ala Dr A108, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 997 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405591

Days on Market: 200

Short Term Rental

$699,000

Maui Eldorado L-202

2661 Kekaa Dr L-202, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 960 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406126

Days on Market: 150

$1,095,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR230

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr230, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 615 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402184

Days on Market: 533

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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