Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$795,000

Valley Isle Resort 1203

4327 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 1203, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,040 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406058

Days on Market: 158

In Escrow

$1,149,000

↓ $50,000

Piilani Village PH1

917 Kahoku Pl, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,336 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404936

Days on Market: 259

$675,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Brewer Rd, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 400166

Days on Market: 724

$1,468,000

↓ $30,000

Anuhea at Kehalani

295 Pua Kalaunu Loop, Wailuku

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,524 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405963

Days on Market: 168

$660,000

↓ $10,000

Wailuku

563 Kauna Lipo Dr, Wailuku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405646

Days on Market: 196

Short Term Rental

$1,300,000

Maui Banyan P-104

2575 S Kihei Rd P-104, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 900 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406164

Days on Market: 146

$7,440,000

Mahanalua Nui Phase II

91 Kumu Niu Pl A, Lahaina

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,012 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406075

Days on Market: 156

Short Term Rental

$5,400,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR202

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr202, Kaanapali

3 Beds 3 Baths 2,230 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406123

Days on Market: 150

Short Term Rental

$1,290,000

Kaanapali Royal K101

2560 Kekaa Dr K101, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,534 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402628

Days on Market: 496

$899,000

Punahoa Beach Apts 304

2142 Iliili , Unit 304 Rd 304, Kihei

0 Beds 1 Bath 328 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403000

Days on Market: 460

$1,295,000

Wailea Palms 3807

3150 Wailea Alanui Dr 3807, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,032 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405835

Days on Market: 180

Short Term Rental

$1,999,000

Kaanapali Alii 1-201

50 Nohea Kai Dr 1-201, Kaanapali

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,460 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403743

Days on Market: 377

Short Term Rental

$649,999

Nani Kai Hale 306

73 N Kihei Rd 306, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 675 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403920

Days on Market: 357

$8,800,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

29 Kolonahe Pl A, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,766 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406135

Days on Market: 149

$2,795,000

Wailuku

1520 Kilinoe Pl, Wailuku

3 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,445 SqFt Residential MLS® # 406149

Days on Market: 148

Short Term Rental

$1,100,000

Wailea Ekahi 25C

3300 Wailea Alanui Dr 25c, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 1 Bath 792 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405315

Days on Market: 224

Short Term Rental

$4,695,000

Makena Surf F-108

4850 Makena Alanui Rd F-108, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,510 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405073

Days on Market: 246

$630,000

↓ $5,000

Haleakala Gardens 3E

15 Kulanihakoi St 3e, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 932 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405859

Days on Market: 176

454 Ohukai St, Kihei

$15,000,000

Kihei

454 Ohukai St, Kihei

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404609

Days on Market: 288

Short Term Rental

$1,399,999

↓ $100,000

Papakea Resort D403

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd D403, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,145 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405510

Days on Market: 207

Short Term Rental

$1,029,000

↓ $170,000

Royal Kahana 520

4365 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 520, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,141 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403709

Days on Market: 383

$995,000

Haiku

988 Auwaha St, Haiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405858

Days on Market: 176

Short Term Rental

$1,669,000

Wailea Ekolu 105

10 Wailea Ekolu Pl 105, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,071 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405018

Days on Market: 250

Short Term Rental

$1,699,000

Honua Kai - Konea NR312

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Nr312, Kaanapali

2 Beds 1 Bath 915 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404231

Days on Market: 328

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Buying Real Estate on Maui

Read Evan's complete guide to buying a home or condo on Maui.

Read the Guide

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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