Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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$1,215,000

↓ $160,000

Nahiku

Lot 20 Hana Hwy 20, Nahiku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 401036

Days on Market: 637

$3,495,000

↓ $104,000

Wailea/Makena

5159 Makena Rd, Wailea/Makena

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 403269

Days on Market: 432

$1,799,000

↓ $51,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

506 Kolohala Dr, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

5 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,209 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405470

Days on Market: 211

$1,395,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

80 Opalipali Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 403623

Days on Market: 391

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Buying Real Estate on Maui

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Short Term Rental

$1,495,000

Wailea Ekolu 1603

10 Wailea Ekolu Pl 1603, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,071 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404571

Days on Market: 294

$900,000

Papohaku Ranchlands

499 Pa Loa Loop, Molokai

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,650 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405433

Days on Market: 214

$2,150,000

Wailea Palms 3202

3150 Wailea Alanui Dr 3202, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,559 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405188

Days on Market: 236

Short Term Rental

$799,000

Luana Kai B204

940 S Kihei Rd B204, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 643 SqFt Residential MLS® # 402859

Days on Market: 476

$18,900,000

↓ $950,000

One Palau'ea Bay

34 Ualei Pl, Wailea/Makena

4 Beds 5 Baths 6,754 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405790

Days on Market: 184

$899,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

11 Huliamahi Pl Unit B, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405587

Days on Market: 202

Short Term Rental

$1,450,000

Wailea Ekahi 46A

3300 Wailea Alanui Dr 46a, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 885 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405772

Days on Market: 186

Short Term Rental

$1,095,000

↓ $100,000

Whaler 415

2481 Kaanapali Pkwy 415, Kaanapali

0 Beds 1 Bath 523 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405710

Days on Market: 205

$1,450,000

Wailea/Makena

160 Manalo St, Wailea/Makena

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405560

Days on Market: 203

Short Term Rental

$4,695,000

Hoolei T2

24 Hoolei Cir T2, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,426 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405333

Days on Market: 223

$1,299,000

↓ $26,000

Maui Lani

73 Hoku Puhipaka St, Kahului

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 2,239 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405830

Days on Market: 181

$1,798,000

Kahana

54 Piina Pl 35, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,846 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405383

Days on Market: 218

Short Term Rental

$1,149,000

Palms at Wailea 307

3200 Wailea Alanui Dr 307, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,022 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405679

Days on Market: 195

$5,495,000

Wailea Golf Estates II

162 Halau Pl 11, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,969 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404472

Days on Market: 307

Short Term Rental

$1,275,000

Papakea Resort J404

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd J404, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,144 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405701

Days on Market: 191

Short Term Rental

$1,299,000

Maui Kamaole i219

2777 S Kihei Rd I219, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,052 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405529

Days on Market: 205

$1,950,000

↓ $300,000

Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

2390 Baldwin Ave Unit A, Makawao/Olinda/Haliimaile

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404610

Days on Market: 289

$650,000

↓ $50,000

Mahinahina Beach 114

4007 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 114, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1.5 Baths 859 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404996

Days on Market: 254

Short Term Rental

$725,000

Pohailani Maui 119

4435 Lower Honoapiilani 119, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 1 Bath 641 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405575

Days on Market: 202

Short Term Rental

$825,000

Kaanapali Shores 428

3445 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 428, Kaanapali

1 Bed 1 Bath 717 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405509

Days on Market: 208

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

Get In Touch With Evan!

Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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