Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

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$7,500,000

Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

21 Kaulua Pl, Spreckelsville/Paia/Kuau

4 Beds 3.5 Baths 3,026 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405426

Days on Market: 216

Short Term Rental

$1,095,000

Grand Champions 162

155 Wailea Ike Pl 162, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 908 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405624

Days on Market: 199

$749,000

↓ $31,000

Waipuilani 314

1002 S Kihei Rd 314, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 954 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405170

Days on Market: 239

$2,500,000

↓ $100,000

Kai Malu 63B

168 Kainui Loop 63b, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 2.5 Baths 1,796 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405443

Days on Market: 213

$2,690,000

Hana

4950 Uakea Rd, Hana

4 Beds 3 Baths 2,332 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405129

Days on Market: 243

$3,495,000

↓ $230,000

Maluna Kai

5045 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 9, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

4 Beds 5 Baths 2,813 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405155

Days on Market: 240

$1,299,000

↓ $100,000

Paradise Ridge Estates 204

2757 S Kihei Rd 204, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,251 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404377

Days on Market: 316

Short Term Rental

$1,050,000

Valley Isle Resort 208

4327 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 208, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,040 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403387

Days on Market: 420

$3,000,000

Terraces Manele Bay 10C

5 Polihua Way 10c, Lanai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,564 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405183

Days on Market: 238

$7,500,000

Lanikeha

1015 Anapuni Pl 62, Kaanapali

4 Beds 4.5 Baths 4,012 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404745

Days on Market: 280

Short Term Rental

$948,000

Luana Kai A205

940 S Kihei Rd A205, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 643 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405746

Days on Market: 189

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$3,995,000

Kihei

Alaku Pl, Kihei

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404928

Days on Market: 262

$2,150,000

↓ $50,000

Lanai

276 Hulopoe Dr, Lanai

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405650

Days on Market: 197

Short Term Rental

$1,198,000

Kapalua Golf Villas 20-T8

500 Kapalua Dr 20-t8, Kapalua

1 Bed 1.5 Baths 987 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404954

Days on Market: 260

$12,000,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Kula Hwy, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405403

Days on Market: 218

$1,750,000

Hana

181 Kalo Rd, Hana

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,599 SqFt Residential MLS® # 398890

Days on Market: 898

Short Term Rental

$1,199,000

Hale Ono Loa 209

3823 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 209, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 860 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405606

Days on Market: 201

18 Maluaka Pl Unit 1, Wailea/Makena

$12,500,000

Wailea/Makena

18 Maluaka Pl Unit 1, Wailea/Makena

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 403294

Days on Market: 430

$2,395,000

↓ $100,000

Makalii at Wailea 103

209 Holokahiki Ln 103, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3 Baths 1,802 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405771

Days on Market: 187

Short Term Rental

$1,595,000

↓ $55,000

Kapalua Golf Villas 25V 3-4

500 Kapalua Dr 25v 3-4, Kapalua

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,344 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405748

Days on Market: 190

$2,400,000

Lahaina

160 Paia Pohaku Pl Lot 13 A, Lahaina

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 402191

Days on Market: 534

Short Term Rental

$999,000

Kauhale Makai 533

938 S Kihei Rd 533, Kihei

2 Beds 2 Baths 799 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405833

Days on Market: 182

Short Term Rental

$1,188,000

Grand Champions 29

155 Wailea Ike Pl 29, Wailea/Makena

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,148 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405834

Days on Market: 182

Short Term Rental

$635,000

↓ $50,000

Kihei Akahi D107

2531 S Kihei Rd D107, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 655 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405566

Days on Market: 204

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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