Market Report September '21 and YTD

Evan Harlow Maui

What a year it has been so far in the Maui real estate market. There has been an enormous amount of property value appreciation in a short period of time. Record sales prices combined with record-low inventory have made 2021 a challenging year for many buyers. It’s also been an exciting time for buyers with access to extremely low-interest rates and increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maximum loan amounts, now sitting at $937,500 on Maui. 

Condos and Homes Roughly Equal on YTD Sales

1.84 billion dollars of single-family residential properties and 1.772 billion dollars of condominiums have been transacted year to date on Maui. Both represent approximately a 120% increase over the same period of 2020. Year to date average sales price of a single-family property sits at $1,767,867 and $957,057 for a condo.  Thanks to many great clients I've personally sold and currently have under contract over 15 million in sales year to date in 2021.

As the Season Changes, So Might the Market

Seasonally, September represents the beginning of a traditional cooling period in the market that typically lasts through the middle of December.  While we are dealing with other unique variables contributing to the current market conditions(i.e. Low-interest rates, low inventory) we could say that the market looks like it might take a breath, albeit a small one, but we aren’t necessarily cooling. 

The market will need significantly more inventory to begin to cool as buyer demand remains strong. The median sales price for single-family homes dipped 4.6% versus last month to $996,500 while median sales prices for condos were up 11.6% to $722,500.

Months Supply of Inventory 

Our current month’s supply of condo inventory is sitting at 0.7 months while single-family homes have 1.8 months supply. This metric represents the expected time for the current inventory to be sold. See the graph below to see just how low we are on inventory compared to historical data. If you've been looking for a condo for sale in Wailea, you've noticed a few things coming on the market lately, yet if they are priced well you've also seen them go pending quickly.  A couple of great Kapalua condos came on the market in the last two weeks but all went pending very quickly too. 

Buyer Demand Hasn't Gone Anywhere

Buyers are still actively writing purchase contracts and sellers are as reluctant as they have ever been to sell despite record prices. The issue of finding a replacement property has become a real issue for those looking to sell and those that own income-producing properties are seeing record rents and great occupancy percentages giving them little incentive to sell. 

While sales prices seem like they have gone parabolic, they have only recently exceeded the prices witnessed during the boom of the mid-2000’s decade prior to the housing bubble being burst. 

Your Maui Real Estate Search Starts Here

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Short Term Rental

$1,250,000

Maui Kamaole H104

2777 S Kihei Rd H104, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 1,039 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405550

Days on Market: 207

$1,650,000

Hana

105 Acres Hana Hwy, Hana

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 401890

Days on Market: 562

Short Term Rental

$795,000

↓ $100,000

Kamaole Sands 5-111

2695 S Kihei Rd 5-111, Kihei

1 Bed 2 Baths 818 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404910

Days on Market: 267

$1,588,000

Maui Lani Island & Bluff

355 Kamalei Cir, Kahului

3 Beds 3 Baths 2,447 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404176

Days on Market: 337

Short Term Rental

$825,000

Hale Ono Loa 205

3823 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 205, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 558 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405215

Days on Market: 236

Short Term Rental

$4,499,000

Montage Residences Kapalua Bay 3503

1 Bay Dr 3503, Kapalua

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,065 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405113

Days on Market: 246

Short Term Rental

$910,000

↓ $15,000

Papakea Resort E205

3543 Lower Honoapiilani Rd E205, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 597 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405145

Days on Market: 243

In Escrow

$850,000

Waiohuli

722 Pueo Dr, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,092 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404334

Days on Market: 322

$625,000

↓ $25,000

Wailuku

920 Akake St, Wailuku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 399832

Days on Market: 773

$1,387,870

Kahului

104 Maa St Lot 29, Kahului

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405165

Days on Market: 241

Short Term Rental

$900,000

Kahana Sunset D7

4909 Lower Honoapiilani Rd D7, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,050 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404589

Days on Market: 295

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In Escrow

$1,990,000

↓ $159,000

Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

22 Malia Iokepa Pl, Kula/Ulupalakua/Kanaio

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,779 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404525

Days on Market: 302

Short Term Rental

$5,500,000

↓ $750,000

Hoolei B2

63 Hoolei Cir B2, Wailea/Makena

3 Beds 3.5 Baths 2,426 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404896

Days on Market: 267

$689,000

Wailuku

629 Kauna Lipo Dr 13, Wailuku

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 405197

Days on Market: 239

Short Term Rental

$729,000

Luana Kai B-104

940 S Kihei Rd B-104, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 643 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405305

Days on Market: 229

$3,299,999

Kapalua Bay Villas 16-B2-3-4

500 Bay Dr 16-b2-3-4, Kapalua

2 Beds 3 Baths 1,503 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405269

Days on Market: 232

Short Term Rental

$2,295,000

Sands of Kahana 324

4299 Lower Honoapiilani Rd 324, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,660 SqFt Residential MLS® # 403400

Days on Market: 422

Short Term Rental

$925,000

Napili Shores H165

5315 Lower Honoapiilani Rd H165, Napili/Kahana/Honokowai

1 Bed 1 Bath 602 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405180

Days on Market: 240

Short Term Rental

$850,000

Sugar Beach Resort PH4

145 N Kihei Rd Ph4, Kihei

1 Bed 1 Bath 613 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404394

Days on Market: 318

Short Term Rental

$925,000

↓ $74,000

Grand Champions 68

155 Wailea Ike Pl 68, Wailea/Makena

1 Bed 2 Baths 908 SqFt Residential MLS® # 405177

Days on Market: 240

$5,999,000

Waiohuli Keokea Beach Lt

1756 Halama St, Kihei

3 Beds 2 Baths 1,412 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404090

Days on Market: 408

$3,499,000

Wailea/Makena

5171 Makena Rd, Wailea/Makena

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 404052

Days on Market: 348

$1,995,000

Lanai

240 Kaunaoa Dr, Lanai

0 Beds 0 Baths 0 SqFt Land MLS® # 400739

Days on Market: 669

Short Term Rental

$2,545,000

Honua Kai - Hoku Lani SR836

130 Kai Malina Pkwy Sr836, Kaanapali

2 Beds 2 Baths 1,240 SqFt Residential MLS® # 404695

Days on Market: 285

It's All Up To The Fed At This Point

Until broader economic conditions change with regards to interest rates, expect buyer demand to remain consistent. We should expect the next couple of months to stay below average inventory and perhaps there will be an increase after the Christmas and New Years’ holidays as there usually is in our market. 

If you have any questions or want to discuss the market at greater length, you can always reach me at 808-214-4799 or by sending an email to evan@mauieliteproperty.com.

Take a look at the full breakdown and statistics as provided by Title Guaranty.

MArket Report Maui

Market Report Maui 2

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Evan Harlow Maui

Evan Harlow ranks among the best real estate agents on Maui annually and is in the top 1% of Coldwell Banker agents worldwide in production. Evan has the expertise, experience, and work ethic to help you achieve your real estate buying and selling goals. We promise exceptional service and support from the beginning of the process through closing and beyond. See what Evan's clients are saying on Google.

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